Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 100494.789997 105889.732568 111278.542451 117061.571501 123088.335231 129180.340315 135800.088490
2025-09-28 91311.621778 99550.607414 108005.285939 117319.047998 127280.239704 137603.544326 149099.860278
2025-10-05 85962.158455 96257.938952 107047.882043 119176.720572 132408.095008 146381.564416 162231.592414
2025-10-12 81703.210301 93564.007079 106214.372507 120674.375497 136707.520125 153902.236340 173698.464038
2025-10-19 77807.044980 90882.794757 105045.945846 121473.202052 139946.215257 160021.540541 183430.351180
2025-10-26 74096.343906 88124.210307 103533.280350 121642.783408 142266.848722 164946.109897 191691.789798
2025-11-02 71053.827780 85917.146326 102454.840428 122125.302188 144785.052803 169969.243618 199971.254240
2025-11-09 68058.028609 83591.943408 101085.879988 122128.783404 146629.545709 174129.696028 207198.448514
2025-11-16 66075.767265 82331.503925 100842.045889 123336.926462 149782.985682 179732.146816 216050.022884
2025-11-23 63534.672470 80289.796909 99576.861803 123250.498609 151345.020024 183436.091285 222667.860762
2025-11-30 62162.516629 79570.983869 99808.264161 124873.381482 154871.882870 189403.419675 231925.484164
2025-12-07 60602.641353 78550.890118 99616.160852 125935.700659 157693.499759 194522.472510 240189.260785
2025-12-14 58614.620033 76957.222331 98697.441211 126103.644316 159448.150460 198409.181637 247059.468959
2025-12-21 56759.708598 75463.116573 97843.646588 126302.194735 161205.785464 202285.013321 253926.606466
2025-12-28 55912.446792 75185.739225 98447.840940 128258.440228 165083.942916 208706.520590 263875.117460
2026-01-04 54944.062058 74712.311627 98774.212902 129844.984691 168496.597223 214570.795967 273178.962339
2026-01-11 53681.707819 73816.869772 98533.416605 130692.292925 170976.572342 219296.779444 281115.459124
2026-01-18 52177.105465 72559.243894 97791.999197 130872.148795 172598.505354 222958.891992 287754.862554
2026-01-25 50904.932405 71560.396412 97340.598066 131384.383070 174610.986137 227089.875666 294976.750589
2026-02-01 49469.350178 70302.642913 96517.959987 131388.069502 175956.375827 230381.323186 301162.958830
2026-02-08 48665.668606 69851.367471 96709.424231 132670.622347 178908.684946 235671.890513 309851.384688
2026-02-15 47310.080357 68624.433615 95859.197009 132578.875275 180089.310276 238738.550335 315770.311372
2026-02-22 46779.991098 68487.084489 96416.130717 134301.514950 183589.469234 244727.273190 325380.372853